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These past few days, I got caught again by the "on-chain data" trap: I saw a certain address just moved, so I quickly checked the trigger conditions of the strategy, and only a few minutes later did I realize it was because of the delay caused by the RPC/indexing service I was using. By the time I saw it, they had already completed the process... Basically, you think you're watching the chain, but you're actually watching someone else's cache.
Node synchronization height, RPC load, indexer fetch frequency, or even whether the service provider you're using is rate-limiting—all can make the "latest" become "just now." Especially when the market heats up and everyone is refreshing, the delay becomes even more noticeable. Recently, there's been talk about rate cut expectations, the US dollar index rising and falling with risk assets, and big fluctuations, so everyone is more focused on "on-chain signals." But the signals themselves might be lagging, which messes with your mindset.
My current approach is pretty crude: I trigger at least through two RPCs, then check the original transaction hash in the browser; I only use index data as a factor, not as the "truth in real-time." What I’ve learned isn’t a trick, but that you shouldn’t treat "what I see" as "what’s actually happening on-chain."