$1.81 TON, do you want to chase?

Telegram personally steps in as a validator, transaction fees are reduced by 6 times at once, a 30%+ surge in 24 hours, trading volume exploded to $950 million— but just now, RSI has already hit over 75, entering overbought territory.

First look at the surface: a pillar supporting the sky, momentum like a rainbow.

In the past 24 hours, it rose 34%, in 7 days up 42%, market cap surged to $5 billion, returning to the top 20, 24-hour trading volume surged over 650% compared to usual. The candlestick chart tells you: the sideways trading range (1.3-1.7 dollars) that lasted 4 months was directly broken through by a large bullish candle, MACD golden cross turning red, all technical indicators are shouting: breakout confirmed, bullish return is swift.

First thing: Telegram personally steps in, this time is different.

Pavel Durov announced personally: Telegram replaces TON Foundation as the network’s largest validator, staking a large amount of TON directly. Meanwhile, transaction fees are cut by 6 times, basic fee lowered to $0.0005.

Translate into plain language:

- An instant messaging app with 900 million monthly active users, personally acting as your miner

- Transfers almost free, micro-payments fully unlocked

- This is Telegram’s “from behind the scenes to the spotlight” trust endorsement, the strongest in history

Second thing: the wallet of 900 million users has just been unlocked.

TON’s core narrative has never been “technologically advanced,” but “users are the wallet.”

Mini Apps like Hamster Kombat have previously generated over 100 million wallet addresses. Although daily active users have declined, today’s news is equivalent to directly activating Telegram’s built-in wallet.

Third thing: a technical signal that must be watched carefully appears.

RSI 6 has already surged to 74.34, RSI 12 and 24 are both above 75—overbought.

What does this mean? Short-term buying pressure is too strong, already overextending some gains. A 30%+ surge in 24 hours, chasing high now, a pullback could leave you hanging on the mountain.

Key level: 1.81, the first stop after breaking through.

Resistance above: 2.0 (integer threshold) → 2.74 (historical high) → 3.5 (mid-term target)

Support below: 1.70-1.75 (above the previous sideways range) → 1.60 (lifeline, sell if broken)

Short-term traders:

Wait for a pullback to 1.70-1.75 before entering, set stop-loss at 1.60 (exit if broken), take half profit at 2.0. After breaking 2.0 and confirming stability, add positions, aiming for 2.74. Chasing at 1.81 now, a 5% correction could be too much to handle.

Swing traders:

Wait for a daily pullback confirming 1.70 support before entering, use dynamic take-profit, target 2.74-3.5. Don’t get blinded by FOMO; the core of this rally is “Telegram’s continuous binding,” not a one-day surge.

Long-term believers:

TON’s scarce narrative is “L1 for 900 million users,” which other blockchains cannot copy. If by 2026 the Mini App ecosystem revives and TVL returns to 200-300 million, $3.5-5 is not a dream. But remember—if it falls below 1.60, all logic fails, and you must exit.

TON now is like SOL in 2024—

Everyone knows it has resources behind it, but no one believes it can really rise. By the time you understand, the train has already climbed halfway up the mountain.

On the day 2.0 breaks through, you’ll realize: it’s not that TON can’t do it, it’s that you always wait for a pullback, but the more you wait, the higher it goes. #美国寻求战略比特币储备 $BTC $SOL $TON