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Recently, I've been debating again whether grid/DCA or a one-shot trade is better. To be honest, I think the main factor in choosing is whether you can sleep well at night. For someone like me who follows a routine of buying crypto, I prefer breaking actions into small steps, maintaining a fixed frequency, and calculating costs clearly. Grid/DCA is like clocking in every day; missing a day doesn't ruin your mood. On the other hand, with a one-shot trade, once you're in, you have to monitor the market and convince yourself, and before bed, you're still thinking "Should I stop loss or add more?" It's too mentally taxing.
Moreover, on-chain data tools and tagging systems are often criticized for being outdated or even misleading. Relying on "watching others' wallet movements" to gain confidence in a one-shot trade is actually pretty illusory. Recently, I’ve simply lowered my expectations, planned to make small, incremental trades, only do actions that can be verified, and leave the rest to fate… which has made me feel much more relaxed.