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I just saw an interesting analysis by TD Cowen on Digital Asset Treasures that made me reflect on the future of Bitcoin. They predict that BTC could reach a market capitalization of $8 trillion by 2035, which is quite an ambitious projection considering we are currently around $1.6 trillion.
What struck me about their framework is how they distinguish between public Bitcoin treasury companies and passive exposure. It’s not a trivial difference – it completely changes the way risk and return potential need to be evaluated.
To manage all this, TD Cowen has identified three metrics that they consider essential: BTC Yield, BTC Torque, and BTC Rating. Basically, a system to monitor how market capitalization moves and the risk factors associated with Bitcoin investments. I like that they are trying to bring some order to this space, which often seems chaotic.
If that $8 trillion market cap projection actually materializes, it would mean Bitcoin has multiplied its current value many times over. It’s not guaranteed to happen, but it’s interesting to see how major players are starting to build structured frameworks for long-term thinking. Anyway, these data are always useful for understanding how markets might evolve in the coming years.