Today on the blockchain, I saw that kind of "coincidental transfer": A sends a transaction to B, and a few minutes later C just happens to receive it, and the group immediately starts spinning stories... I've now learned my lesson, and first break it down into paths: Is it the same money looping through different addresses? Is it crossing bridges/exchange hot wallets? Is it being casually split by routing aggregators? Or is it just a batch collection hitting a certain rhythm? To put it simply, many "mysterious" things are just tools confusing people. Recently, the debate over privacy coins/mixing/AML has gotten even more intense. I'm actually more concerned about whether that line you see might just be deliberately smoothed out in the middle segments. Anyway, I prefer short-term trading—I'd rather miss a trade than be led by narratives.


What I fear most isn't missing an opportunity, but mistaking a very ordinary flow of funds for a signal from a big player and then self-hypnotizing.
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