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Oil jumps as Hormuz risk keeps tightening global supply
🛢️ Oil prices rose sharply on May 4, with Brent near $114 per barrel and WTI above $105. The move reflects how the market is repricing supply risk as tensions around the Strait of Hormuz continue to escalate.
⚠️ The main focus is on Iran-linked attacks near the UAE and the Fujairah area, a key energy hub in the Gulf. As commercial vessels continue to face disruption risk, the risk premium in oil prices is unlikely to fade quickly.
🚢 The U.S. has launched efforts to help civilian ships move through Hormuz, but the market has not yet treated this as a strong enough signal for shipping flows to normalize. Hormuz still handles around 20% of global oil flows, so any further blockage could keep prices elevated.
📉 The spillover is now reaching equities, inflation expectations, and energy stocks. In the short term, Brent’s $115–120 area will be the key zone to watch; if shipping improves or tensions ease, oil could pull back quickly.
#EnergyMarkets