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Lately, I keep seeing people stack charts of stablecoin supply, ETF net inflows, and OTC funds and then start saying "So it must rise next." Honestly, correlation does not equal causation... Sometimes it's just that the same sentiment/policy window is moving together, or funds are shifting between different pools; more on-chain activity doesn't mean they'll immediately come to buy.
I'm no longer stressing myself out over this; I've lowered my target: just focus on trade quality, fewer slippages, fewer stop-outs, and a clean route to consider it a win. This way, I can stick with it longer, and even if I lose, I can review and learn, without getting overly emotional and opening reckless positions.
By the way, it's ridiculous that hardware wallets are out of stock, and phishing links are also prevalent. Don't just focus on fund flows; first, carefully check the signature pop-up... otherwise, the small profit you make might not be enough to cover the damages from an authorization mishap. That's all for now.