Recently, I've seen a bunch of people using ETF fund flows and U.S. stock market risk appetite to explain crypto price movements—sounds pretty lively. I just treat it as background noise for now... The real thing that can drive you crazy by the end of the year is tax reporting: you can't even remember which chains you used or which assets you've bought and sold.

My current quick fix is: after every large transaction, I export the exchange transaction records, and the addresses I use on-chain are fixed in a spreadsheet, with a couple of notes in plain language about the time / currency / counterparty (like "cross-chain margin deposit" or "transfer to a friend"). Don’t expect to remember it after half a year. For safety, I’m willing to take an extra step: every month, I bundle these spreadsheets + exported files, encrypt them, and upload to cloud storage + keep a local copy. It’s a hassle, but way better than staring at a bunch of Tx hashes in December. No matter how good the project team’s acting is, they can’t recreate your transaction history.