$BTC

📈 2026.05.04 Morning BTC Market (As of 9:00)

- Current price: $78,785
- 24h: +0.07%, High $79,061 / Low $78,095
- Structure: Tight range consolidation at high levels, short-squeeze pressure but no breakout

1. Key Points on the Board

- Daily: The third attempt to test the heavy resistance zone at 79,400–79,500
If it breaks through, it could open up space above 80,000+; repeated failures to break may lead to a pullback
- 4 hours: Slow grind higher squeezes for a breakout; volume is average
Multiple attempts to probe 79,500 have failed; positive Gamma pressure is suppressing price
- Support: 78,000 → 77,500
- Resistance: 79,500 → 80,000 (strong wall)

2. Morning Strategy (Short-term)

- Long
On pullback to 78,000–77,800, wait for stabilization and then go long
Target: 79,000 → 79,500
Stop-loss: below 77,500
- Short
Try a low-position short from 79,300–79,500
Target: 78,200 → 78,000
Stop-loss: above 79,800

3. Key Reminders

- ETF inflows continue (net inflow of 2 billion in April), medium-term bias is bullish
- 80,000 is the largest resistance zone for options; breaking through requires increased volume
- Fast rallies are prone to forming a daily top bearish divergence; watch for a selloff after a spike

Action: keep positions light, enter and exit quickly, and strictly use stop-loss.
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