According to CME "FedWatch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by June is 92.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 7.2%.


The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by July is 88.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 10.9%, with a 50 basis point cut at 0.3%.
The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by September is 83.0%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 16.0%, with a 50 basis point cut at 1.0%.
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