I have just been studying an interesting pattern in Bitcoin that repeats over multiple halving cycles. The 500-day rule seems to provide a pretty solid guideline here.

The concept is actually quite simple: About 500 days before a halving, a buying zone forms, and around 500 days after the event, you should start reducing your position again. Looking at the history, it works surprisingly consistently.

During the 2020 halving, for example, the pattern was very clear. Those who started accumulating 500 days prior exited with massive gains later. The same scenario played out in 2016. And now, with the 2024 halving — it could very well happen again.

The logic behind this is that the market anticipates these cycles. Accumulation before the event drives the price up, and afterward, there’s usually a consolidation phase or even a pullback. Understanding this rhythm can help you work with it.

Of course, this isn’t a guarantee, but when you look at the data, it’s hard to deny that this 500-day strategy has worked quite well so far. The best time to build a BTC position is definitely before the halving, and the best exit point is roughly 500 days afterward.

Will you also follow this strategy, or have you had different experiences?