The current trading chart trend of the second contract reveals bearish signals everywhere. The bearish logic is completely valid. Compared with the main contract’s strong, straight-up rally, the second contract not only has not been moving higher in sync, but has instead remained in a slow-and-steady rise state. The linkage among major coins has completely broken down—this is the core signal that the market’s bearish pattern has not changed. It is absolutely not a setup before a bull market starts.

Next, looking at technical indicators, moving averages across all timeframes are gradually turning downward. Selling pressure above is dense, and the willingness of bullish funds to enter is extremely low. Market bullish sentiment is sluggish. Even if there is a minor rebound, it’s only a “bull trap” deliberately created by the market makers to lure retail traders into entering and taking the bag.

Moreover, recently the volatility of the second contract has been gradually narrowing, and a pattern of slow rises followed by sharp drops has been repeating. This clearly shows that market makers are brewing a short (bearish) market. Once it breaks down and falls, the room for a pullback will open up completely. Be sure to set up your high-short positioning in advance and follow the short-side rhythm closely.

Trading suggestion: Short around 2340-2370, targeting 2260-2230. If it breaks below 2200, then the long-term target is 2000.
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