Bitcoin today once again approaches the 79,000 level. But based on trading volume, it’s clearly in a shrinking volume state, not capable of a strong breakout. Therefore, yesterday’s rebound was just a rebound and not a trend reversal.

From a technical structure perspective, both the 4-hour and daily charts show a gap around 76,600. Looking back at the previous rally, the daily chart did not leave a gap, so this level is most likely to be filled.

Two possible trends:
First scenario: The price rebounds to around 79,100 but fails to reach 80,000, forming a top here. If the top is confirmed and you haven't set up short positions, you'll miss out on a new big decline. Therefore, it’s recommended to gradually set up short positions; if the price really reaches near 80,000, add to your position.
Second scenario: The price first pulls back to around 76,600, then starts to rebound next week, breaking through the 80,000 barrier. After breaking through, fill the gap, then reach the weekly resistance level, initiating a new downward trend. Essentially, this is a false breakout pattern.

Summary:
Whether it’s the first or second scenario, both are good opportunities to set up long-term short positions. The only difference is whether it’s a false breakout after a decline or a direct top. The strategy should focus on gradual positioning, controlling risk, and patiently waiting for the market to play out. #美国寻求战略比特币储备