‍#Gate广场五月交易分享

Latest Developments in US-Iran Negotiations - Iran Proposes 14 Points, No Real Change
Iranian media disclosed on the 2nd the latest negotiation plan conveyed to the US through mediator Pakistan, consisting of 14 points focused on "ending the war." The report states that Iran is awaiting an official response from the US. The US previously proposed a plan with 9 points; Iran's latest proposal emphasizes that all issues should be resolved within 30 days, with the focus on "ending the war" rather than extending the ceasefire. The main contents of Iran's proposal include ensuring no further military aggression, US troops withdrawing from Iran's surrounding areas, lifting maritime blockades, unfreezing Iran's assets, paying compensation, lifting sanctions, achieving peace on all fronts (including Lebanon), and establishing a new management mechanism for the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's proposal clearly delineates a firm "red line" and presents a clear roadmap to end this imposed war.
👉 Overall, Iran's latest proposal still shows no substantial change; after discussions, it feels like returning to the starting point. The demands in Iran's plan, such as "US troops withdrawing from Iran's surrounding areas," "lifting sanctions," and "paying compensation," touch on US strategic interests and geopolitical layout in the Middle East, making it difficult for the US to easily concede. The US's long-term military presence in the Middle East is a key tool for maintaining regional hegemony and ensuring energy corridor security; the demand for troop withdrawal is almost impossible to accept.
📉 For Bitcoin, the potential negative impact of a negotiation breakdown still exists. Coupled with Trump's statement yesterday that a restart of airstrikes on Iran is not ruled out, the question of whether the "fire of war" will reignite remains a "Damocles sword" hanging over crypto and gold bulls. Under these circumstances, the probability of an upward breakout is low. For Bitcoin and gold, it is still advisable to focus on short positions.