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Have you heard of the Benner Cycle? I recently came across this fascinating concept, which actually dates back to the 19th century but is remarkably relevant for today's markets – especially for crypto.
It all started with a man named Samuel Benner, an American farmer who wasn't exactly a Wall Street type. But that's what makes his story interesting. Benner experienced the highs and lows like many entrepreneurs – financial losses from market crashes, crop failures, panic phases. Instead of simply accepting it, he decided to understand the patterns behind it. After years of observation, he published his book with predictions about market cycles in 1875. The result: the Benner Cycle.
How does it work? Benner identified three recurring phases. First, there are the A-years – panic institutions, where market crashes occur. Then the B-years, the peak years with high prices and euphoria, ideal for selling. And finally the C-years, when markets have collapsed and you can buy cheaply. The cycle repeats approximately every 18–20 years.
What fascinates me: these patterns don't only work with commodities like corn and pork – Benners original focus – but also with modern financial markets. And yes, also with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Let's look at the current situation. We are currently in the year 2026, and according to the Benner Cycle, this should be a B-year – a year with high prices and market all-time highs. Interestingly, this aligns with what we are experiencing right now. After the volatility of recent years, we are indeed seeing bullish signals again. This is no coincidence but part of the cyclical pattern.
For crypto traders, this is especially valuable. Bitcoin has its own four-year halving cycle, which perfectly overlaps with Benners concepts. If you understand the emotional extremes – the euphoria in B-years and the panic in A-years – you can act much more strategically. Hedge positions in bull markets and take profits. Accumulate in bear markets when everything is in the red.
What’s fascinating about the Benner Cycle is that it shows: markets are not chaotic. They follow patterns based on human behavior. Greed and fear – the two poles that Benner highlights in his predictions – drive the cycles. And these cycles repeat.
So, if you think long-term about crypto or other markets, it’s worth keeping an eye on the Benner Cycles. It’s not about short-term trades but understanding larger patterns. The Benner Cycle gives you a strategic framework to know when to buy aggressively and when to sell wisely. A timeless concept that still works today.