Recently, I've seen people use statements like "Stablecoin supply increased = a surge is coming" or "ETF net inflows = retail money is flowing in" as gospel... Honestly, correlation does not equal causation. An increase in stablecoins might just mean everyone is moving their chips onto the chain waiting for opportunities, or it could be that they've lost money elsewhere and are switching to stablecoins to catch their breath; the ETF money, sometimes, is more like a sentiment thermometer, not necessarily the gatekeeper for major players entering the market. I’ve also realized that the ones most likely to get hurt are those who treat these indicators as "reasons to open positions"—especially when attention shifts to memes and celebrity calls, newbies get excited and jump in at the last moment, and veteran traders can't even persuade them. Anyway, now when I see "all indicators are aligned," I just ask myself: what exactly is the money planning to buy, and how will they exit after buying? That’s all for now.