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$BTC What's the next move? Don't be fooled by sideways consolidation at high levels
These days, $BTC has been stalling and consolidating at high levels, and many people are starting to get bullish again, thinking "It's so stable, we're about to hit a new high," but I advise everyone not to be deceived by this false sense of stability. I've seen this exact script before.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, the current trend is a perfect replay of the previous breakout from 76k and the attempt to push to a new high. Back then, the price was also consolidating very steadily at high levels, giving the impression that "it's holding up so high, there must be plenty of buyers stepping in," but not long after, it crashed nearly 10,000 points, trapping late buyers at the top.
Now, examining the contract liquidation liquidity, there are many orders piled up around 79k above and around 77.5k below, with even more orders below. The price is currently stuck in the middle, with room to move up or down, and based solely on the candlestick patterns, no clear direction is indicated.
However, considering market sentiment and the behavior of the big players, I lean more towards the script of first smashing down and then pulling up. The reason is simple: the orders below are closer and easier to pick up.
The smoothest move would be: first push the price down to around 77.5k, clearing out the orders below, and giving a false impression to bears that "it's going to fall," possibly even tricking some new short sellers into entering. Once these positions are in, reverse and push the price back up to 79,000–80k, taking out the trapped longs and stop-losses on the top.
The shorts that have been trapped all along haven't been fully cleared out yet. If they push straight up, they might panic and cut losses, making the market move too directly; but if they first give hope of a dip and then reverse upward, this "sugar first, slap later" tactic is the most damaging and aligns perfectly with the main players' usual manipulation strategies.
Going forward, I will keep a close eye on BTC's key levels, whether it's signals of stabilization after a dip or breakout opportunities, and I will update here immediately. If you want to stay in sync and avoid being whipped around by the big players, follow me and don't chase every pump or panic sell blindly.
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