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#Gate广场五月交易分享 There are no significant changes in global monetary policy at the moment. The Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations are still brewing. From market sentiment, investments are relatively cautious, and capital inflow is slow, mainly playing a game with existing funds. No large institutional funds have entered the market for now. Currently, mainstream cryptocurrencies are showing narrow fluctuations, slightly strengthening, in a phase of steady accumulation. Investor enthusiasm in the crypto market is relatively low, with institutional funds slightly net inflowing into the spot trading market. Contract trading is mainly driven by retail funds.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin daily chart continues to close positively, maintaining a sideways upward trend. Yesterday, the price ranged between $78,000 and $79,000, with a high of $79,199 before pulling back. The overall trend is consolidating sideways, with a gentle battle between bulls and bears, and trading volume continues to shrink. The 4-hour timeframe still maintains a complete upward channel structure, with moving averages showing a bullish alignment. The mid-term upward trend remains intact; the MACD fast and slow lines are converging, indicating a slight decline in bullish momentum, but no clear bearish reversal signals. Support and resistance: support is at $77,300, which is the lower boundary of the intraday consolidation range. Falling below this level could lead to a test of the strong support at $76,800–$75,600. Resistance is at $79,500; a breakout could attempt to test the $80,000 mark.
Ethereum (ETH)
Ethereum's daily chart, linked to Bitcoin, closed positively. Yesterday's overall performance was stronger than Bitcoin. In the early session, it oscillated upward from $2,294, reaching a high of $2,342 but failed to break through under pressure, leading to a pullback. The intraday range is roughly between $2,290 and $2,340. The KDJ indicator formed a golden cross near the middle line, the MACD bearish momentum is mildly shrinking, and the RSI is in a neutral zone without overbought or oversold signals. The overall pattern remains oscillating but slightly bullish, waiting for Bitcoin to break through and drive the market higher in tandem. On the 4-hour chart, after bulls touched the upper resistance, the price slightly retraced. The KDJ three-line golden cross turned downward, and the MACD bullish momentum mildly decreased. Support and resistance: support is in the $2,240–$2,250 range, with strong support at $2,220; short-term resistance is at $2,340, and a volume breakout could further target the $2,380–$2,400 range.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Bitcoin: Long position idea: If the price retraces to and stabilizes above the $77,700–$77,900 support, consider a small long position, with a stop-loss below $77,300. First target is $78,600; if broken, hold for $79,400.
Short position idea: If the price effectively breaks below $77,300 with volume, consider a small short, with a stop-loss at $77,800, and target $76,800–$76,000.
Ethereum long position idea: If the price retraces to around $2,290 support without breaking it, consider a long, with a stop-loss at $2,260, and target $2,324. If broken, look for $2,350–$2,380.
Short position idea: If the price falls below $2,290 and cannot recover quickly, consider a small short, with a stop-loss at $2,320, and target $2,250–$2,220.
Risk Reminder:
1. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile. The current trend is in a consolidation phase, so avoid heavy positions chasing gains or panic selling. Strictly set stop-loss and take-profit levels.
2. Post-holiday market volume changes and macro policy surprises could trigger rapid reversals. Keep a close eye on capital flows and market news.
3. The above analysis is based solely on current market data and technical patterns and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should make rational decisions according to their own risk tolerance.