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I just came across a pretty interesting market signal. Orders at pizza shops around the Pentagon recently surged by 227%, which actually reflects an unofficial information indicator known within the community as the "Pizza Index."
The logic is quite straightforward. When those in charge at the Pentagon or the White House, who handle confidential information, sense that something major is about to happen in the short term—such as military actions or diplomatic crises—they have to stay in the office for overnight meetings and can't go home for dinner. Hundreds of people working overtime at the same time, and the fastest, most convenient choice is to order pizza. So, pizza shop order volumes become a hidden "overtime indicator."
And the brilliance of the "Pizza Index" lies in its ability to often reflect geopolitical changes faster than official press releases. When orders suddenly multiply several times, it usually indicates that some international situation is escalating. This 227% increase points to an escalation in the U.S.-Iran confrontation.
Honestly, compared to waiting for official statements, sometimes observing changes in the Pizza Index can better sense the market's upcoming direction. The charm of this unofficial indicator is right here—it’s authentic enough, direct enough.