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Have you noticed that running testnets is no longer just "practicing"—it's become like clocking in at work waiting for a paycheck... Once expectations are set, hands stop listening, and even knowing you might get nothing, you still push forward.
My own stop-loss is pretty simple: first, clearly write down "What exactly am I betting on." If it's learning about interaction/on-chain design, then set a time limit—play for two nights and stop; if it's purely for points, then limit the cost—how much gas to burn, how much effort to spend. When reached, stop, and don't compete with others in a "last-week sprint." Basically, the more the expectation resembles an airdrop, the more you should treat it like buying a lottery ticket; otherwise, you'll just be led by the project's rhetoric.
Recently, I keep hearing about rate cut expectations and the US dollar index fluctuating with risk assets. My feeling is: when macro heats up, testnets also become emotional. The more excited everyone gets, the easier it is to mistake "possible" for "inevitable." Anyway, when I see proposals/announcements that say "rewards will be distributed based on contribution," I just assume it's "up to fate"—that's how I handle it for now.