I'm not very good at immediately spotting those "coincidental transfers"; it looks like someone is secretly planning something, but often it's just paths overlapping. My habit is to treat addresses as accounts: who is paying wages to whom, who is making returns to the treasury, who is doing cross-chain transfers, and then connect a few key outgoing/incoming transactions over time. Basically, I can break them down into a few explainable pipelines. Some new L1/L2 incentives are boosting TVL, and suddenly there are a bunch of similar routes on-chain. It's not surprising that veteran users complain about "arbitrage selling"—to put it simply, incentive funds come in and immediately go out through fixed channels. Anyway, when I see a "coincidence" now, I first look for the same source of funds, similar fee habits, and repeated interactions. If the accounts match, don’t jump to conspiracy theories; just treat the rest as a risk and stay cautious.

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