Interesting discrepancy in the market right now. One analyst is preaching the next big crash, while others already think the top has passed.

Henrik Zeberg, this guy with the report that many follow, has had his recession thesis circulating for a while. Back then, he thought the big event would come at the end of 2023. Then it was August 2024. Now he says October. You notice the pattern – the guy keeps adjusting when reality turns out differently. But the core idea remains: Elliott waves, the fifth phase ends, then everything crashes. According to Zeberg, BTC could still run up to 120K before a 60-80% correction.

But here’s where it gets interesting: other traders are confident that we’ve already seen the top. @PhilakoneCrypto, for example, is convinced the bull market is over. He believes Bitcoin will fall to 28K by July 2026. That’s, of course, a different scenario than Henrik Zeberg’s, who still believes in further upside.

What fascinates me: both scenarios are based on established models. Zeberg uses Elliott waves, which have worked since the 1930s. The other trader simply looks at chart signals and thinks the game is over. Who’s right? Hard to say. Market data currently shows 78K, but that says nothing about the coming months.

The reality is probably: whether Henrik Zeberg is right or the pessimistic traders are – we’ll only know in hindsight. Until then, it remains volatile and controversial.