ACDC Report Flags Polymarket Insider Trading Concerns Across $54.4B in Markets

ACDC reported that Polymarket may have a broader insider trading problem than previously indicated after analyzing 435,000 settled markets with $54.4 billion in volume between January 2021 and mid-March 2026. ACDC found low-probability political bets won about 14% of the time on average, while some military-related contracts exceeded 50%, and Solidus Labs found less than 1% of wallets captured about half of profits. ACDC recommended stronger identity verification, conditional payouts for suspicious bets, and tighter limits on markets decided by small groups.

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