Recently, I saw a bunch of screenshots of "whale addresses moving = about to take off," and I almost followed out of curiosity... Later, I thought, I really need to clarify whether they are gradually building a position, hedging/reallocating, or just cross-chain moving to another place. To put it simply, whale position management is not the same as ours; if you see a transfer and get excited, you're often just making excuses to jump in.

Now I force myself to write two reasons for entering: Is the trading volume keeping up? Is the structure starting to form? If not, forget it. Especially these days, with Layer 2 arguing over TPS, fees, and subsidies—it's fun to watch, but don’t take their chatter as certainty.

After lowering my expectations, I feel more relaxed: I don’t expect to make big money with a full-on gamble, just hope not to be the liquidity provider when others are hedging... for now, that’s it.