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$TRUMP It feels like the “Trump card” won’t be fun next season, but at this age, there’s no need to play around anymore.
TRUMP
Trump’s “card bug” fail? This big move that could affect your account has just begun.
On May 1, an invisible red line was cut. The 60-day military authorization under the U.S. War Powers Act expired, yet Trump started playing word games—claiming that hostile actions against Iran had “ended,” trying to “card bug” his way into preserving the power to go to war at any time. But this tactic is dragging global markets into a massive wave of uncertainty.
Don’t think this is just American political theater—every step in this chess game is pulling at the money in your account.
Trump’s calculations are loud and clear: as long as he holds the power to use force against Iran, he can pressure Iran into making concessions at the negotiation table, keep control of Middle East oil, and thereby stabilize oil prices and U.S. inflation. But once Congress takes back war powers, he’s basically a tiger with its teeth pulled—Iran won’t give him a good face at the negotiation table. Even more critically, the Democrats are waiting for this opening to undermine his war powers, lower his approval ratings, affect the midterm elections, and completely cut off his political path.
What are markets most panicked about right now? It’s the chain reaction after the “card bug” fails. If Trump is forced to give up his authority to use force, Middle East geopolitical risks will cool down instantly. Oil and gold prices will drop accordingly, which is a short-term positive for global equities. But the other side of that coin is that U.S.-Iran negotiations will go straight into deadlock—or even be dragged into a long-term showdown. Geopolitical risk is merely delayed, not eliminated.
Even more frightening is that if Congress rejects his moves, Trump is very likely to take reckless risks—manufacturing tension through other means to forcibly hold onto the initiative. The volatility brought by this political game is the market’s biggest hidden bomb.
Right now, the market is like standing at the edge of a cliff: on one side, a frenzy of safe-haven assets; on the other, the abyss of negotiation breakdown. Ordinary investors can’t even make sense of where this chess game is headed, yet they have to pay for the risk of every single step.
You think you’re trading crypto or stocks. In reality, you’re betting on the outcome of this political game. Want to know the next key turning points and the corresponding action playbook? Follow me—my next post will break down the loophole where this chess game can be turned around, helping you avoid this market storm that will ripple across the globe.