Family, wake up! The two "big players" in the prediction market—Polymarket and Kalshi—have released their earnings reports! In April, their total trading volume directly smashed through the $150 billion mark, an amount so large it could make Wall Street old-timers rub their eyes. But there's a heartbreaking truth: these two guys maintained a myth of "continuous upward growth" for a full 7 months, and this month, it finally ended! Let’s break down the tricks behind this wave of “gamblers slowing down”:

First, look at the data, Polymarket’s active users dropped from 733k in March to 643k. It feels like everyone just finished that crazy “prediction season,” their wallets are a bit empty, or they’re tired of those old, boring scripts, and just want to go home and rest. After all, guessing every day, every moment, really costs brain cells!

But don’t think this means it’s about to die out. The plot twist here: although the total global user count dipped a little, the domestic US operations and Kalshi next door are still growing against the trend! What does this mean? It shows that Americans’ enthusiasm for predictions has already been ingrained in their bones. As long as there’s gossip to eat and wins or losses to settle, they’ll charge forward with US dollars.

My spicy take: the current pullback in prediction markets is actually a top-tier “profit-taking” move. Everyone has shifted from pure “wild guesses” to more refined “old hunters.” You have to understand, with a volume of 150 billion, this is no longer a toy for niche players but a new battlefield capable of challenging traditional finance.

Brothers, see this clearly: the fluctuations in user numbers are just temporary rebalancing. The mode of prediction markets—“buying the truth with real money”—has been thoroughly proven to work. When the next big event comes, these folks will definitely come back with even fatter wallets. Follow me, and I’ll keep an eye on these “future indicators.” We don’t gamble on luck; we gamble on cognition. Stay steady, and we can win. #WCTC交易王PK #美国寻求战略比特币储备 #比特币ETF期权持仓限额增4倍 $BSB $PRL