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Crypto markets follow trends — that's just how it is. And those who read the trends correctly have a real advantage. That's why today I want to show you how to truly recognize bullish and bearish phases.
Let's start with the basics. When I want to analyze a trend, I always look first at the larger timeframes — daily or weekly charts. No matter what happens on smaller timeframes, the overall direction is determined by the big picture. With the smaller timeframes, I can then refine my entries.
What does a bullish trend look like? Very simply: The price consistently makes higher highs and higher lows. That’s the identifying sign. As long as this structure holds, the market direction remains upward. If the price does not break through any of the previous lows, you know that the upward trend is still intact.
Regarding where to enter — nothing moves completely straight up. There are always setbacks. Sometimes, on the larger timeframe, it looks like a harmless consolidation, but on smaller timeframes, you might see a 30 percent decline. This is exactly where your opportunity lies: if the price falls into the key zone (the previous higher low), it can be a perfect entry point. The goal then is new highs.
The bearish trend works on the same principle, just reversed. Lower highs and lower lows — that’s your signal that it’s heading downward. If you want to short, wait until the smaller timeframe allows a jump into the upper high zone of the larger timeframe. That’s where you look for your short setup, and the target is new lows.
But here’s the critical part: no trend lasts forever. And that’s where most traders lose their money. They become pessimistic when a bullish trend begins and do not accept the change in direction. Or they are too optimistic and keep buying when a bearish trend sets in.
How do you recognize a trend reversal? With the same strategy you use for bullish and bearish trends. When an uptrend breaks and the price falls below the higher low — that’s your signal. Some take profits there, others open short positions. It depends on the trader type.
Similarly: if in a bearish trend the lower highs are broken and the price rises above them, then the direction shifts from bearish to bullish.
The secret is simple: Be optimistic when the market is bullish. Be pessimistic when it’s bearish. And adjust your attitude when the trend changes. That’s the way to survive and become a successful trader. Everything else is just noise.