April BTC Review and May Key Level Projection

Core Resistance and Momentum Shift

• 3-Day Line: 79,500 is April’s lagging/hesitation pressure point and also the first hurdle for the bulls in May. An effective breakout of 79,500 will directly turn the MACD lagging signal into stronger upward momentum; the first target is 80,250.

• 2-Day Line: The MACD has been climbing toward the zero axis and has been lagging for a week. After the price holds above 80,000, the lagging signal will shift to accelerated upward movement; the key resistance above is the Bollinger upper band at 81,250.

May Trading Rhythm

1. Below 79,500: Range-bound and slightly bearish; mainly go short for now. Stop-loss is set above 80,000.

2. Breakout of 79,500: Trade in line with the trend with a low-buy; after it holds, add to the position. Target 80,250.

3. Breakout of 80,000: Expect accelerated upward movement; hold until around 81,250 and take partial profits in stages.

4. Above 81,250: Watch for overbought conditions; you can try a light-position short or just stay on the sidelines.

Key Risk Control

• Fake Breakout Defense: For the 79,500 breakout to be valid, it needs confirmation via a daily/3-day closing, along with increased volume.

• Stop-Loss Discipline: During the consolidation phase, stop-loss for short positions is 80,000+; after the breakout, stop-loss for long positions is 78,500-79,000.

• Position Timing: Before the breakout, try small-size orders; after confirmation, add positions following the trend, and take partial profits in stages around 81,250.
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