92.8% No rate cuts! What signals is the market waiting for? Don’t be fooled by the noise

The latest interest rate expectations are already clear:
By June—
Most likely (92.8%) to stay unchanged, with little hope for rate cuts (only a 7.2% chance of a slight 25 basis point cut)
By July—
Still mainly "holding steady" (88.8%),
Expectations for rate cuts slightly warming:
A slight 25 basis point cut about 10.9%,
A significant 50 basis point cut almost negligible (0.3%)
In one sentence:
In the short term, liquidity will not suddenly loosen, and the market will continue to "rely on itself."
What does this mean for the crypto market?
No rate cuts = no new capital inflow
The trend won’t suddenly explode due to macro factors; more likely, it’s structural opportunities.
Expectations gap is the key
What truly drives the market isn’t “whether there will be a rate cut,” but “whether it exceeds expectations.”
Volatile markets test rhythm more
It’s not about not making money, but about seeing who has more patience and execution. #WCTC交易王PK #美国寻求战略比特币储备 #比特币ETF期权持仓限额增4倍 $BSB $PRL