#Gate广场五月交易分享 Key Events That Will Impact Cryptocurrency Prices in the Second Half of 2026

1. Federal Reserve Rate Cut Cycle: The Federal Reserve's policy meeting from June to September; if a rate cut begins, global liquidity will loosen significantly, and funds will flood into the crypto market, likely pushing BTC above previous highs; if high interest rates persist, the market will continue to fluctuate and build a base.
2. Implementation of U.S. Cryptocurrency Policies: The official rollout of the SBR strategic reserve, the Senate vote on the Clarity Act, and the approval results of ETH spot ETFs; these three major events will directly determine the scale of institutional capital inflows and are the core catalysts for the market in the second half of the year.
3. Ethereum Glamsterdam Upgrade + BTC Layer 2 Explosion: Ethereum's technical upgrade in June and the large-scale deployment of BTC Layer 2 ecosystems in the second half of the year will directly drive a revaluation of ETH and BTC, triggering sector rotation.
4. Global Geopolitical Conflicts: Escalation of conflicts in the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine; safe-haven funds may flow into BTC, temporarily boosting prices; if conflicts ease, funds will flow back to traditional markets, putting pressure on the crypto sector.
5. Institutional Earnings Reports and Token Accumulation Trends: Continuous BTC accumulation by companies like MicroStrategy and the inflow of ETF funds into institutions like BlackRock will continue to influence market confidence.