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Let me tell you something about crypto trends that many underestimate. The market follows patterns, and those who read these patterns win. Those who ignore them lose their money.
I’ve noticed that most beginners make the mistake of looking at the wrong timeframes. Always start with the higher timeframes – the weekly or daily chart. What happens on smaller timeframes ultimately doesn’t matter. The big trend prevails. With movements on smaller timeframes, you can time your entry into the big trend.
How do you recognize a bullish trend? Very simply: The price continuously forms higher highs and higher lows. That’s the sign. If these higher lows are not broken, the upward movement remains intact. You can stay bullish.
But beware – nothing moves straight up. There are always setbacks. On the weekly chart, it might look like a small consolidation, but on smaller timeframes, you might see a 32 percent decline. That’s normal. If the price falls into the key zone (the previous higher low), that’s your entry point. Goal: new all-time highs.
Now for the bearish trend – the opposite. The price forms lower highs and lower lows. That’s your signal for a downtrend. If you want to short here, wait for the price to jump into the upper zone of the higher timeframe. That’s where you look for your short trigger. Goal: new lows.
Here comes the critical part: trend reversal. That’s the point where most traders go broke. People stick to their opinions. They are pessimistic, but the trend turns bullish – and they refuse to accept it, keep selling. Or they are optimistic, the trend turns bearish – and they keep buying.
How do you recognize a change? With the same strategy you use for trend detection. When an uptrend breaks down, the price falls below the higher low. Then you can change your stance from bullish to neutral or bearish. Some traders take profits there, others open shorts. It depends on the trader’s style.
Conversely: when a bearish trend breaks and the price surpasses the lower highs, the sentiment shifts from bearish to bullish.
That’s the whole secret. Be bullish when the trend is bullish. Be bearish when the trend is bearish. Change your opinion when the trend changes. That’s the only way to survive long-term and trade successfully. Those who follow this have already won.