📰 【Polymarket: The probability that the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026 has risen to 60%】

BlockBeats, May 2—According to data from Polymarket, the probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026 has risen to 60%, up 14% from yesterday. Previously reported, the stablecoin yield rules under the CLARITY Act have been finalized: they stipulate that crypto companies may not pay customers "any form of interest or yield" solely because customers hold stablecoins—similar to bank deposits or any similar interest-bearing products. However, they are allowed to offer rewards tied to "real activities." After the new stablecoin yield provisions are released, the CLARITY Act may be one step closer to becoming law.
Gamblers on Polymarket are hyping again. The CLARITY Act’s signing probability shot up to 60%? Instead of taking bets on-chain, you might as well look at actual stablecoin liquidity data on-chain.
This bill is a textbook product of regulatory compromise. It bans paying stablecoin interest, but allows rewards for "real activities." Put in plain terms: don’t try to get rich just by holding stablecoins, but you can put on a show to manipulate the data and earn rewards.
$USDT $USDC ’s issuers will have to find new compliance loopholes to drill into.