Solana (SOL) Price Trend Analysis (Combined Weekly K, Daily K, Liquidation Map)



1. Weekly Level: Bottoming and Rebound, Initial Momentum Emerges

• Trend Pattern: SOL weekly chart has experienced a deep correction from the previous high (around 171.85) down to about 67.40, currently building a bottom structure above $80. Recent candles show slight oscillation upward, supported by the pink midline (around 70-75 zone), indicating signs of stabilization and rebound.

• MACD Indicator: The weekly MACD has formed a golden cross below the zero line (DIF crossing above DEA). Although the momentum bars (histogram) are short, this signals the exhaustion of bearish forces and the beginning of tentative bullish attempts, an important sign of a medium-term trend reversal.

• KDJ Indicator: The three lines of KDJ form a golden cross and diverge upward at mid-low levels (K=36, D=32, J=43), indicating that medium-term rebound momentum is building.

• Support/Resistance: Strong support below is in the 75-80 range (weekly midline + recent low), initial resistance is at 90-95 (previous platform high), with strong resistance near 120.

2. Daily Level: Moving Average Resistance, Short-term Correction

• Trend Pattern: Recently, the daily chart touched above 90 and faced resistance, then pulled back. Currently, the price is around 83. Short-term price is constrained by the yellow midline and pink moving averages, in a phase of retesting and confirmation.

• MACD Indicator: The daily MACD has a death cross near the zero line, with green momentum bars appearing, indicating short-term upward momentum is hindered and further correction to find support is needed.

• KDJ Indicator: The daily KDJ forms a death cross downward (K=31, D=32, J=28), with J entering the low zone, suggesting that while there may be a short-term adjustment, the space could be limited, approaching oversold rebound critical point.

• CCI Indicator: CCI is at -80, near the lower boundary of the normal range, with no extreme oversold signals, indicating the correction remains healthy.

• Support/Resistance: Support below is at 80-82 (recent lows + moving average support), resistance is at 87.5-90 (previous high).

3. Liquidation Map: Bullish Defense Level Clearly Defined

• Key Price Level: Current price is 83.5, with the liquidation map showing a dense cluster of chips around 83.0 (yellow high-leverage zone).

• Game Logic: $83 is the current "life and death line" in the bulls vs. bears battle. If the price holds above 83 without breaking, it indicates strong bullish defense at this level, potentially launching a new rally from this position; if it breaks below 83, chain liquidations may trigger, accelerating the decline toward 80 or even 78 for support.

4. Overall Forecast and Trading Suggestions

Overall Judgment: Medium-term bullish, short-term consolidation.

1. Short-term Trend (1-3 days):

◦ Influenced by the daily MACD death cross and downward KDJ, SOL is likely to oscillate between 80-87 to digest trapped positions above and profit-taking below.

◦ Key Point: Watch the support at 83.0; if maintained, it’s a good low-entry opportunity.

2. Medium-term Trend (1-2 weeks):

◦ With the weekly MACD golden cross confirmed and the daily KDJ low-level golden cross ending, SOL is likely to break through the 90-95 resistance zone and challenge the previous high of 120.

3. Trading Strategies:

◦ Buy on dips: Suggest entering long positions in the 80-83 range, with a stop-loss below 78 (trend weakens if weekly support is broken).

◦ Breakout chasing: If the price volume breaks above 90 and stabilizes, add positions accordingly, targeting 100-110.

◦ Risk Warning: Keep a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) movements. If the market experiences a deep correction, SOL may follow and break below the 80 support, so strict stop-loss is necessary. #sol $SOL
SOL-0.24%
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