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Listen, if you still don't understand how the market actually moves, it's time to change that. Smart money trading is not just another strategy; it's a completely different perspective on what’s happening. In short: the market has big players (whales, banks, hedge funds, institutions) and a crowd of small traders. And here’s the paradox – the big player always acts against the crowd’s expectations. They play on emotions, create the movements they need, while small participants blow their deposits following classic patterns and indicators.
What is smart money trading really? It’s analyzing the behavior of big money. The whale needs liquidity – huge volumes to fill their orders. And so, they hunt for the stops of small traders, which are placed just beyond obvious support and resistance levels. Take out the stops – gather liquidity – move the market in the desired direction. Classic.
Why doesn’t classic technical analysis work? Because the big player understands crowd psychology and intentionally draws formations that the crowd wants to see. A beautiful triangle is broken in an illogical direction, strong support is impulsively broken, and then the price returns. 95% of the crowd loses assets. Smart money trading is about understanding these manipulations and trading alongside the whale, not against it.
Market structures are the foundation. There are three types: upward (HH+HL, bullish trend), downward (LH+LL, bearish trend), and sideways (flat, consolidation, range). Determining the current structure is the basis of all analysis. Inside primary structures (higher timeframes: week, day, 4 hours), secondary structures (lower timeframes: hour, 15 minutes) appear. For example, within an upward primary trend, there will be secondary downward corrections.
Now about liquidity – it’s the main fuel for the big player. In practice, liquidity is the stops of small participants, located beyond trading ranges, beyond figures, beyond candle shadows. The highest concentration of orders is found beyond significant highs and lows (Swing High and Swing Low). These are liquidity pools that the whale hunts.
A swing is a reversal point of the price. Swing High consists of three candles: the middle with the highest high and two neighbors with lower highs. Swing Low is the opposite: the middle with the lowest low and two neighbors with higher lows. This is important for understanding market structure.
An important concept is Break Of Structure (BOS). It’s an update of the structure within a trend. In an uptrend – an update of the high; in a downtrend – an update of the low. Change of Character (CHoCH) is a change in trend direction. The first BOS after a CHoCH is called Confirm and confirms the trend reversal.
Divergence is when the price moves differently from the indicator. Bullish divergence: lows on the chart are decreasing, but lows on the indicator (RSI, Stochastic, MACD) are rising. It’s a signal to reverse upward. Bearish divergence – the opposite: price highs are increasing, but indicator highs are falling. A signal to reverse downward. The older the timeframe, the stronger the signal. Triple divergence is a very strong reversal setup.
Volumes reflect the real interest of market participants. Rising volumes indicate trend strength; falling volumes indicate weakness. In a bullish trend, buying volumes grow; in a bearish trend, selling volumes grow. If the price rises in a bullish trend but buying volumes decrease, it may signal an imminent reversal downward.
Three Drives Pattern (TDP) is a reversal pattern with a series of higher highs or lower lows. It forms near support-resistance zones. Bullish TDP: a series of lows, entry when the price enters the support zone or after the third low. Bearish TDP: a series of highs, entry when the price enters the resistance zone.
Three Tap Setup (TTS) is similar to TDP but without the third lower low or higher high. It’s a set of positions by the big player in the support-resistance zone. Entry on the second move or on the third retest.
Trading sessions: Asian (03:00-11:00 MSK), European/London (09:00-17:00 MSK), American/New York (16:00-24:00 MSK). During the day, three market cycles: accumulation (Asia), manipulation (Europe), distribution (America).
CME exchange trades Bitcoin futures from Monday to Friday. Starts at 01:00 MSK (or 02:00 in winter), closes at 24:00 (or Saturday at 01:00 in winter). Gaps can form between Friday’s close and Monday’s open – a price gap. On classic crypto exchanges, trading runs 24/7, so BTC price can change over the weekend. Gaps act as magnets for the price and are covered in 80-90% of cases.
Important indices: S&P 500 (the stock index of the 500 largest US companies) has a positive correlation with BTC. DXY (the dollar index, the dollar’s value against six main currencies) has a negative correlation with BTC. Growth in S&P 500 usually accompanies growth in BTC and a fall in DXY. Growth in DXY means a fall in BTC and S&P 500.
That’s the essence. Smart money trading helps identify the actions of the big player and explains the nature of their manipulations. With this strategy, you’ll learn to profit from these manipulations and trade alongside the whale. Save this material so you don’t lose it, and apply it in practice. Good luck in trading!