Technical View: XRP Stability Near $1.38 — Pressure Before Expansion

XRP is currently stabilizing after an extended downtrend, showing early signs of consolidation near the $1.35 – $1.40 range. Price movement is narrowing within a compression structure, indicating a potential upcoming expansion move.
The market is transitioning from a bearish phase to a possible accumulation zone, but XRP still trades below major macro resistance levels.
Moving Average Structure (Early Recovery Attempt)
20 EMA: $1.39
50 EMA: $1.40
100 EMA: $1.51
200 EMA: $1.75
Price is currently trading around the 20/50 moving averages cluster.
Short-term moving averages are flattening (losing downward momentum).
No strong bullish consensus yet (20 < 50 < 100 still mixed).
200 EMA remains well above → overall trend remains bearish.
👉 This structure indicates an early recovery, not a confirmed reversal.
Fibonacci and Market Structure
1.0 Fib (Cycle Top): $3.66
0.786 Fib: $3.11
0.618 Fib: $2.69
0.5 Fib: $2.39
0.382 Fib: $2.09
0.236 Fib: $1.71
Fib 0: $1.11
XRP is currently trading below the 0.236 Fib level ($1.71).
Price is holding above the demand zone between $1.30 and $1.35.
The structure shows a formation of a base after the collapse.
👉 Reclaiming $1.70 is the first major confirmation of strength.
Market Structure View (ICT Concepts)
Previous move cleared buy liquidity below $1.30.
The current range shows:
Accumulation behavior
Multiple attempts to capture internal liquidity
Price forming a tight range (equal highs and lows).
Nearby zones:
$1.40 – $1.45 → Short-term supply / minor demand
$1.30 → Demand / liquidity base
👉 Breaking this pressure could be a strong catalyst.
RSI Momentum
RSI (14): 52
Neutral momentum (market balanced).
Slight upward tilt formation.
No overbought or oversold conditions.
👉 Momentum supports a scenario of range breakout.
📊 Key levels
Resistance
$1.40 – $1.45 (range high / supply)
$1.71 (0.236 Fib / major recovery level)
$2.09 (0.382 Fib)
Support
$1.35 (range support)
$1.30 (demand zone / liquidity base)
$1.11 (macro base / Fib 0)
📌 Summary
XRP is currently in a pressure and accumulation phase after a long downtrend. Price remains above the key demand zone near $1.30 with resistance around $1.40.
A clean breakout above $1.45 could trigger an upward move toward $1.70, a critical level to confirm broader recovery. Conversely, losing $1.30 would invalidate the short-term structure and expose lower liquidity zones.
Overall, XRP is neutral to bullish in the short term but still needs to reclaim higher timeframes to change the macro trend.
$XRP