# YouTuber Kripto Prediksi Titik Terendah Bitcoin dan Siklus Bear Market

The Bitcoin bear market floor may have already formed at the US$60,000 level, according to Carl Runefelt and David Wulschner, two widely watched European crypto YouTubers. Both believe that this cycle never reached the euphoria that usually triggers a decline of up to 80%.

With Bitcoin’s price now hovering around US$76,500, the predictions from the two YouTubers seem to be starting to prove true. Runefelt of The Moon Show said that US$60,000 is the real-time bottom point, while Wulschner of Crypto Familie sees a strong accumulation zone with limited downside risk.

## YouTuber Says Bitcoin Floor at US$60,000

In an interview with BeInCrypto, Runefelt recounted the moment when he made that prediction.

“ When Bitcoin broke down to 60K, I thought at that time it was around 59 point something… I even made a tweet and a video on the same day that I was sure this was the bear market bottom, ”

The Swedish creator emphasized that this bear market doesn’t require a drastic drop because the previous peak was not accompanied by speculative euphoria, which typically appears before a major sell-off.

“ We never experienced euphoria. We never saw such a lively altcoin season. We also have never seen Bitcoin surge to stratospheric levels of euphoria where everyone in the world is talking about it, ”

He also highlighted that the Relative Strength Index shows oversold signals last seen during the mass-selling period of the COVID era. With Michael Saylor and other major institutions still continuing to accumulate, Runefelt said the potential for further downside is very small.

## Wulschner Sees Limited Downside Potential

Wulschner, the host of Crypto Familie, mostly agrees but leaves open the possibility of a deeper test.

“ I think it would be a mistake to hope the price will fall below US$50,000, ”

Wulschner’s support box is in the range of US$52,000–US$53,000, similar to the 23% retracement from the all-time high that occurred in the 2017 cycle. He believes the current zone is an area of very strong accumulation.

He also mapped the “max pain” zone to the US$39,000 level at Fibonacci 0.768, although he says this scenario is impossible. Wulschner also highlighted the role of Michael Saylor and the company’s treasury as a structural floor that prevents deeper declines.

## The Echo of Benjamin Cowen’s Apathy Theory

The predictions from these two YouTubers align with the analysis of Benjamin Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse, who argues that this cycle’s peak happened not because of euphoria, but because of apathy. Since the peak was not the result of mania, the typical 80% bear market decline pattern like in previous years cannot simply be applied.

Cowen says this cycle is structurally different, because altcoin rotation generally requires retail capital inflows full of euphoria—something that has not happened. Since large, mania-driven fund outflows aren’t coming out, the US$60,000 level today could hold as a floor without needing extreme corrections like in 2018.

## Risks That Could Invalidate This Prediction

Runefelt highlighted situations that could invalidate that prediction.

“ If we see more wars or black swan events, or Trump writes a ridiculous tweet, then yes, the price could fall even further, ”

Both creators place more emphasis on the current zone as a strategic moment for long-term accumulation, not just trading. Wulschner closes with a firm instruction.

“ Profits aren’t made during a bull market. You have to set targets, build a foundation, and establish your main positions in your portfolio during a bear market, ”
#WCTCTradingKingPK