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I saw Yang Haipo's analysis circulating, and I have to say that the current numbers are truly alarming. Bitcoin is now over a $1.5 trillion market cap, yet his considerations about the risk of a potential crash in the crypto sector are starting to sound like a warning bell we can't ignore.
According to what is reported, the key point is that ETFs and DApps would represent the last major injections of capital into the system. If true, it means we are looking at the final available resources to sustain this growth. Meanwhile, the industry continues to burn tens of billions of dollars each year, the base of actual buyers is shrinking, and funding channels are becoming increasingly tight.
It's a dynamic that resembles the classic scenario of a market that has exhausted its sources of organic growth. When new money stops flowing in and buyers decrease, the risk of a crash in the crypto sector becomes anything but theoretical. I'm not saying it will happen tomorrow, but the pattern is that of a system losing momentum.
What strikes me is the simplicity of the logic: if external capital injections run out and the buyer base shrinks, how does the price continue to hold? The answer is that it probably doesn't. And if Bitcoin drops significantly, dragging the rest of the crypto market down with it, then yes, we could witness a much broader crash than many expect.
This isn't pessimism; it's simple market arithmetic. It's worth paying attention.