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YouTuber Crypto Prediction of Bitcoin's Lowest Point and Bear Market Cycle

The Bitcoin bear market bottom may have already formed at the $60k level, according to European crypto YouTubers Carl Runefelt and David Wulschner, both highly viewed. They believe that this cycle never reached the euphoria that usually triggers an 80% decline.

With Bitcoin's price now around $76,500, the predictions of these two YouTubers seem to be starting to prove true. Runefelt from The Moon Show states that $60,000 is the real-time bottom point, while Wulschner from Crypto Familie sees a strong accumulation zone with limited downside risk.

YouTuber Says Bitcoin Bottom at $60,000

In an interview with BeInCrypto, Runefelt recounts the moment he made that prediction.

“When Bitcoin broke down to 60K, I thought at that time it was around 59 point something… I even tweeted and made a video on the same day that I believed this was the bear market bottom,”

The Swedish creator emphasizes that this bear market does not require a drastic decline because the previous peak was not accompanied by the speculative euphoria that usually occurs before a major downturn.

“We never experienced euphoria. We never saw such a crowded altcoin season. We also haven't seen Bitcoin surge to stratospheric euphoria levels where everyone in the world is talking about it,”

He also highlights that the Relative Strength Index shows oversold signals last seen during the mass sell-off in the COVID era. With Michael Saylor and other major institutions still accumulating, Runefelt believes the potential for further decline is very small.

Wulschner Sees Limited Downside Potential

Wulschner, host of Crypto Familie, largely agrees but opens the possibility of a deeper test.

“I think it would be a mistake to expect the price to fall below $50,000,”

Wulschner’s support zone is around $52,000–$53,000, similar to the 23% retracement from the all-time high during the 2017 cycle. He considers the current zone to be a very strong accumulation area.

He also maps the ‘max pain’ zone to the $39,000 level at Fibonacci 0.768, though he believes this scenario is unlikely. Wulschner also highlights the role of Michael Saylor and corporate treasuries as a structural floor preventing deeper declines.

The Echo of Benjamin Cowen’s Apathetic Theory

The predictions of these two YouTubers align with analysis by Benjamin Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse, who asserts that this cycle’s peak is reached not because of euphoria, but because of apathy. Since the peak is not driven by mania, the pattern of an 80% bear market decline like in previous years cannot be simply applied.

Cowen states that this cycle is structurally different because altcoin rotation generally requires retail capital flows full of euphoria—something that has not yet happened. Since large mania-driven fund outflows are absent, the $60,000 level could hold as a floor without the need for extreme corrections like in 2018.

Risks That Could Cancel This Prediction

Runefelt highlights situations that could invalidate this prediction.

“If we see more wars or black swan events, or Trump tweets something ridiculous, then yes, the price could go lower,”

Both creators emphasize the current zone as a strategic accumulation moment for long-term holdings, not just trading. Wulschner concludes with a firm instruction.

“Profits are not made during a bull market. You need to set targets, build a foundation, and establish main positions in your portfolio during a bear market,”