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Actually, everyone understands that when a hot topic rotates, it's the easiest time to get itchy. Eyes are glued to the K-line, but the heart is following the timeline. Over the past two months, I forced myself to adopt a clumsy method: first check if the protocol's cold start has a genuine "retention" design (not just simple token distribution), then see if community discussions are about product/governance rather than just scrolling through profit screenshots; if not satisfied, I won't chase even if it rises, at most I’ll put it on the observation list, and after a week, see if there's any accumulation of data.
Recently, the public opinion that explains everything with ETF capital flows and U.S. stock risk appetite has been quite noisy. To be honest, it can influence sentiment, but if you really use it as a trading trigger, I feel there's a high chance you'll be led by the noise. Anyway, my current rule is: don’t add positions on the day a hot topic emerges, wait until I cool down before deciding. That’s how I’m doing it for now.