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News + betting logic, traffic will explode, but risks are also increasing
Introducing prediction markets into news may seem innovative, but it’s also a double-edged sword.
Fox Corporation brought attention, Kalshi brought "priced judgments."
This means that every piece of news could come with a "market opinion."
In the short term, this can greatly increase user dwell time and engagement. Because people will refresh repeatedly to see if the probabilities have changed.
But in the long term, it could also lead to a problem: will users become overly reliant on market judgments?
When "probability" becomes a reference standard, people may gradually abandon independent thinking.
Even more interesting is that the market itself can be influenced by emotions. That is to say, the probabilities you see are not entirely rational.
This creates a cycle: emotions influence the market, the market influences users, and users in turn influence emotions.
It sounds like a closed loop, but it’s also a potential risk. #WCTC交易王PK