1. Current Price and Range

• Price: approximately $77,800, up 0.4% in 24h

• Intraday volatility: $76,800–$78,500

• Daily chart structure: sideways at high levels, oscillating with a neutral bias

2. Key Support/Resistance

• Strong resistance: $80,000 (psychological + liquidity pressure)

• Short-term resistance: $78,500

• Core support: $76,000 (dense buy zone)

• Strong support: $75,000

3. Short-term Trend Judgment (Today)

• 1-hour chart: Bollinger bands narrowing, middle band oscillating, MACD near zero line, RSI≈50, typical oscillation with no direction.

• Daily chart: divergence at high levels, weakening momentum, slowing rally, oscillation turning weak, approaching a trend reversal window.

• Capital flow: institutional net inflow for 9 days (+$2.12 billion), strong bottom support, but upward momentum weakening.

4. Today's Trading Ideas

• Range trading: buy low and sell high within $76,000–$78,500, strictly control position sizes.

• Breakout follow-up: lightly add long positions on a break above $78,500, target $80,000; watch for a pullback to $75,000 if breaking below $76,000.

• Mainly observe: in the late stage of oscillation, wait for a clear breakout before increasing positions.