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2026-05-01 01:05:44

On Polymarket, 2.8 million dollars in real-money bets on model strength (before expiry on 5.31):

Claude is far ahead of Gemini.
OpenAI drops by 2% and is surprisingly overtaken by xAI.
Is the market betting on xAI’s new model being released?
GPT 5.5 has just launched, but unexpectedly, the market doesn’t buy into it at all.

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