Recently, I’ve been a bit obsessed with testing network points. It was originally just to practice my feel, but then a bunch of people started calculating “what’s the expected value of this wave,” and I also get a little curious. Honestly, once practice turns into expectations, it’s easy to get more and more off track: staying up late, adding accounts, switching accounts, all kinds of scripts making people anxious.

My self-imposed stop-loss is pretty simple: spend no more than X hours a day, and stop if I go over; if a project hasn’t made progress for three days in a row or the rules keep changing, I just leave it alone and don’t argue with it. Treat it like a gym membership—persistence is good, but don’t expect that just signing up automatically builds muscle…

Lately, big on-chain transfers and hot/cold wallet movements on exchanges are often interpreted as “smart money coming in / about to crash,” but I usually just see it as a mood thermometer. If I follow every move, I’ll probably end up chasing my emotions. Anyway, I’d rather wait for the hype to die down before deciding whether to keep pushing.