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So Quantum Capital just dumped about 75% of their Descartes position back in Q4 — sold off 83k shares for roughly $7.4 million as the stock was getting hammered. Can't blame them for taking profits after a 40% drop, but the way they trimmed this holding is interesting. They went from 1.18% of their portfolio down to just 0.32%, basically saying this wasn't a priority anymore.
Here's what caught my eye though: Descartes was trading at over 50x free cash flow when they originally bought it. Now it's down to 25x FCF. That's a massive valuation reset. The company's dealing with macro headwinds, tariff uncertainty slowing customer purchases, and everyone's paranoid about whether SaaS players can survive the AI wave. Growth slowed to 11% last quarter, which isn't great when you're used to better numbers.
But I'm actually looking at this differently than Quantum Capital. Yeah, Descartes got punished hard, but their whole ecosystem — all those logistics connections, compliance data, interconnected systems — isn't getting replaced by AI overnight. Some customers might use AI for specific tasks, but matching what Descartes built? That's not happening. Plus they're already rolling out their own AI tools. At these valuations, I think the stock looks way more interesting than where Quantum just exited. The market probably overcorrected on the AI panic.