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Just caught up on COHR's performance over the past year and honestly, the numbers are wild. We're talking about a 325% surge that absolutely crushed both the broader market and its semiconductor peers. While the S&P 500 gained around 23% and the industry averaged under 19%, Coherent just kept climbing.
So what's driving this? The real story is in their datacenter and communications business. That segment is now pulling in 72% of total revenue, up from 63% a year ago, with a massive 33.5% year-over-year jump. The demand for 800 gig and 1.6T transceivers has been relentless, and they're scaling their Indium Phosphide capacity hard to keep up. They're ramping 6-inch wafer production at their Sherman and Jarfalla facilities, which tells you they're serious about capturing this AI connectivity wave.
What's interesting is that the industrial side isn't dead either. You're seeing recovery signals from semi-cap equipment customers, with industrial revenues moving up 4% sequentially. Their laser and engineered materials divisions are actually contributing to the mix, which gives them some diversification most pure-play semiconductor names don't have.
Now let's talk balance sheet because this is where COHR gets an edge over competitors like Wolfspeed and ON Semiconductor. They're sitting on $899 million in cash against only $106 million in current debt. That 2.25 current ratio beats the industry average of 1.59 pretty comfortably. Their long-term debt is $3.2 billion, but here's the key - debt-to-capital ratio dropped from 34.9% to 27.4% quarter-over-quarter. They're actually paying down leverage while growing. Interest coverage improved to 2.5X from 2.2X, meaning they're in a solid position to service debt without sweating.
Compare that to Wolfspeed, which got hammered down 28% over six months while COHR climbed 178.6%. ON Semi gained 28%, but they're both stuck in the capital-intensive EV powertrain game. COHR pivoted into AI connectivity, which is where the real money is flowing right now.
The forward outlook is pretty bullish too. Analysts are expecting fiscal 2026 revenue around $6.9 billion, which would be a 19.4% jump year-over-year. For 2027, they're looking at another 23.2% gain. On the earnings side, fiscal 2026 EPS is estimated at $5.38, representing 52.4% growth, and 2027 is forecast to see another 33.5% bump. What caught my attention is that over the past two months, there were eight upward EPS revisions for 2026 and seven for 2027, with zero downward adjustments. Analysts have also bumped up their 2026 earnings estimate by 5.5% and 2027 by 13.1%, which signals real conviction.
Looking at this holistically, COHR's positioned well. Strong balance sheet, diverse product pipeline, industrial recovery, and a firm grip on the AI infrastructure trend. They've got the financial flexibility to invest in capacity, weather downturns, and refinance debt on favorable terms. The stock's up 325% for good reasons, and if the execution continues, there's more room to run. Worth adding to a portfolio if you're looking at semiconductor exposure with actual growth catalysts.