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Been looking at some stocks that showed solid momentum patterns earlier this year, and LUV caught my attention. This airline stock was running pretty hot - up 13% in a week at one point, and the monthly gains were even more impressive at over 22%. That's the kind of outperformance you notice when comparing it to the broader industry, which was basically flat.
What's interesting is the longer-term picture. Over a three-month stretch, LUV was up nearly 59%, and if you zoom out to a year view, it was sitting at around 69% gains. For context, the S&P 500 during similar periods was way behind on those numbers. The trading volume also looked healthy - averaging over 10 million shares on a 20-day basis, which usually signals real interest.
The earnings story added another layer. I noticed analysts were revising estimates upward pretty consistently - 7 upward revisions versus none downward over a two-month period. That pushed the consensus estimate from around $2.77 to $4.13, which is a meaningful jump. Looking ahead, the revision trend continued with more upside adjustments and no downgrades.
All that combined made LUV look like a textbook momentum play at the time. Strong price action, positive estimate revisions, above-average volume - the ingredients were there. Whether it held up from there is another question, but those were the signals that stood out.