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Been watching this geopolitical situation unfold and it's pretty clear the defense sector is in for a sustained run. The renewed tensions involving the U.S., Israel, and Iran over the weekend didn't just move markets for a day - it's highlighting something structural that's been building for a while now.
Two names that really caught my attention are Lockheed Martin and Palantir. They're not competing in the same space, which is actually what makes them interesting together.
Palantir's been quietly becoming the digital backbone for NATO and U.S. military operations. Their AIP platform and Ontology framework are handling command systems across multiple conflict zones, and they've racked up over $10 billion in defense contracts. In modern warfare, you need both the hardware and the software layer - Palantir is basically the intelligence engine that helps militaries interpret threats and coordinate responses at scale. They went public in 2020 and have been on a serious growth trajectory, especially as defense budgets keep expanding and more commercial operations adopt their AI platforms.
Lockheed Martin is the physical side of that equation. They're the ones supplying the F-16s, F-35s, and missile defense systems. The F-35 has been testing AI-enabled combat capabilities, which tells you where military tech is heading. What stood out to me was their latest backlog number - $194 billion reported in Q4. That's not just revenue projection, that's contracted work sitting on the books. Production is scaling at record levels right now.
On valuation, Lockheed is trading pretty reasonably actually. It hit $692 recently but still trades below S&P 500 averages on price-to-sales and price-to-earnings. They're projecting 5% sales growth to $78.84 billion this year, with earnings expected to jump 29%. Plus they've got a solid 2% dividend yield, which is above most defense sector peers.
Palantir's more expensive - trading at 102x forward earnings - but the growth story is different. They're projecting 78% EPS growth for next year to $1.34, with top-line revenue expected to hit $7.22 billion, up 60%. That's the kind of trajectory that justifies a stretched valuation if execution holds. Stock pulled back from its November highs around $212 to $145, which made it more interesting from a risk-reward perspective.
What's compelling here is you're getting exposure to both the hardware backbone and the software intelligence layer of modern defense infrastructure. As long as geopolitical instability persists - which seems like the baseline assumption now - demand for both should remain elevated. Worth monitoring closely if you're looking at defense exposure.