Just caught the latest durable goods data and it's actually better than expected. Orders only fell 1.4% in December when everyone was bracing for a 2.3% drop. November got revised up to 5.4% too, so there's some real momentum building here.



What's interesting is if you strip out transportation equipment, durable goods orders actually went positive - up 0.9% month-over-month. That's the kind of signal that suggests underlying demand is still holding up better than the headlines make it sound. Economists were only looking for a 0.3% gain in that category, so we're beating expectations there too.

The broader takeaway: the durable goods sector isn't as weak as some of the pessimistic forecasts were suggesting. Yeah, we saw a pullback in December, but it's a lot softer than feared. When you're looking at economic resilience, this kind of durable goods data matters because it tells you what manufacturers are actually seeing in real orders. Could be a sign that demand isn't collapsing as quickly as some thought.
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