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Just caught up on some interesting stock moves from early this year, and there's a few names worth revisiting if you've been sitting on the sidelines.
Exxon Mobil's been on a solid run - up over 32% in the last six months compared to the broader oil and gas sector at 26%. What's driving it? Their Permian and Guyana operations are basically printing money right now. We're talking doubled upstream earnings since 2019, and they keep hitting production records in both regions. The company's also getting smart about managing debt while funding dividends, buybacks, and these high-return projects. They're even dabbling in hydrogen and low-carbon tech through their Baytown facility.
That said, crude prices have been under pressure, which obviously impacts the upstream side. And their newer businesses - lithium, low-carbon ventures - are still early stage with a lot of uncertainty baked in. So it's not all smooth sailing.
Lockheed Martin's another one that's outperformed - up 48.8% versus 9.2% for the aerospace-defense sector overall. They're still the dominant U.S. defense contractor with steady Pentagon orders and strong international demand. The U.S. defense budget keeps growing, which should help. But they've got some program execution issues that could bite them, and the labor shortage in aerospace-defense is real.
Honeywell caught my attention too. Up 10% while their sector was up 6.2%. Their commercial aviation and building automation segments are solid, especially aerospace with strength in defense and air transport hours climbing. Shareholders are getting rewarded with consistent payouts. The acquisition strategy has expanded their reach, though it did load up their debt. Industrial Automation's been weak though, and rising operating costs are squeezing margins. Foreign currency headwinds aren't helping either.
Then there's AMREP, a smaller play that's actually down 10% while real estate development was up 13%. This microcap's land sales - their highest-margin business - have dried up, which is exposing how sensitive they are to transaction timing. Limited visibility and rising fixed costs are concerns. That said, they've got a strong balance sheet, and their homebuilding side showed growth in the first half with stable pricing and low inventory in New Mexico. Their rental portfolio's expanding too, which adds some recurring income to offset the cyclicality. Cash position is solid and debt is minimal.
Worth keeping these on your watchlist if you're looking at energy, defense, industrials, or real estate plays. The market's definitely pricing in different growth trajectories for each of these, so timing matters.