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Just caught HHH's Q4 earnings and honestly the numbers are kind of all over the place. They pulled in $624.45M in revenue, which actually beat estimates by almost 2%, but here's the thing - that's down 36.5% year-over-year, so not exactly thrilling. The real shocker was earnings per share at $0.10 versus the expected $0.31. That's a massive miss.
Dug into the segment breakdown because that's where HHH usually tells the real story. Master Planned Community land sales absolutely crushed it, hitting $117.44M against estimates of $90.89M - up 73% from last year. That's the bright spot. But the Strategic Developments segment got hammered, dropping 52.5% to $371.34M. Condominium sales came in slightly below guidance at $369.48M. Operating Assets and Master Planned Communities segments both managed to beat expectations though, so mixed signals overall.
What caught my eye is that segment EBT for Master Planned Communities hit $105.42M, beating the $82.54M estimate pretty cleanly. So management's actually executing better on profitability in some areas even if top-line growth is struggling. HHH stock itself has basically flatlined, up just 0.3% over the past month while the broader market was down 0.8%. Currently sitting at a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), which tracks with the mixed earnings picture. Feels like a wait-and-see situation for now.